Understand. Prove. Bring to market.

Source thesis / asset

Formalized from EventEdge ee-ev-20391 v2. Non-tradable.

Structure

Monitoring index only — no exposure, no product.

Destination

Held in Phronesis until evidence arrives

Venue profile

none

Commercial options

Internal signal · Research subscription (later)

Approvals

1 of 5

Evidence gaps

• Authoritative resolution source
• Calibration proof in Scalar

{
  "schema": "product_candidate_package",
  "schema_version": "1.0.0",
  "idempotency_key": "COID-EE-EVENT-001:v1:cand-ee-001",
  "tenant": "arileus-demo",
  "simulated": true,
  "coid": "COID-EE-EVENT-001",
  "ids": {
    "phronesis": "phr-obj-0002",
    "scalar": "scl-31bc09",
    "source": "ee-ev-20391"
  },
  "source": {
    "source_system": "EventEdge",
    "source_object_id": "ee-ev-20391",
    "source_version": "2",
    "source_model_id": "ee-prob",
    "source_model_version": "1.8.0",
    "source_created_at": "2026-10-05T09:02:00Z"
  },
  "candidate": {
    "id": "cand-ee-001",
    "kind": "monitoring_index",
    "title": "Rate-Cut Monitoring Index",
    "structure": "Monitoring index only — no exposure, no product."
  },
  "policy_decision": {
    "status": "insufficient_evidence",
    "policy_version": "policy-advisory-2026.10.1",
    "jurisdiction": "US",
    "advisory_only": true
  },
  "scalar_proofs": [
    {
      "ref": "scl-31bc09/lineage",
      "kind": "lineage",
      "state": "proven"
    },
    {
      "ref": "scl-31bc09/calibration",
      "kind": "evidence_summary",
      "state": "missing"
    }
  ],
  "venue_profile": "none",
  "evidence_gaps": [
    "Authoritative resolution source",
    "Calibration proof in Scalar"
  ]
}